As the highly anticipated 12-team College Football Playoff draws near, the debate over the committee's rankings has reached a fever pitch. One of the key issues at hand is how to handle the numerous teams with two or three losses, especially within the SEC. The SEC often prides itself on being the premier conference, with an assumed inherent difficulty in navigating its grueling schedule. In the 2024 season, speculation is rife that the league could have five teams make it to the 12-team field.
Analyst's Dissent: Danny Kanell's Perspective
Danny Kanell, a renowned college football analyst with a controversial stance against the SEC, posted a graphic on X on Monday afternoon. This graphic showcased some SEC out-of-conference performances from the early part of the season, and the results were far from impressive. Miami, despite having just one loss, has not been particularly dominant, often relying on miraculous referee-assisted wins to eke out victories. USC, on the other hand, has completely fallen apart, needing a last-second win over Nebraska just to reach a 5-5 record. Cal is struggling in the ACC, with a 1-5 record and a 5-5 overall standing. Oklahoma State has turned out to be one of the worst teams in Power Four football this season, losing seven games in a row and standing at 3-7 overall.Many of these losses now seem even more glaring in hindsight. For instance, in a game between the Vanderbilt Commodores and the Alabama Crimson Tide on October 5, 2024, at FirstBank Stadium, the outcome was one-sided. The SEC's reputation for toughness is being tested as these teams face off against a variety of opponents.The SEC's Tough Schedule vs. Its Potential
While the SEC is known for its challenging schedule, there are questions about its true strength. Miami's one-loss record doesn't tell the whole story. They have had to rely on controversial referee calls to secure wins. USC's collapse is a testament to the unpredictability of college football. Cal's performance in the ACC has been lackluster, and Oklahoma State's struggles this season are a cause for concern.Jacob Hester tried to counter Kanell's argument by highlighting the "week in and week out grind" that SEC teams face. He shared a list of out-of-conference wins, but many of these wins are not of significant value. UCLA is not a strong opponent, and LSU struggled against them until late in the second half. Houston's 4-6 record is hardly a notable win for Oklahoma State. Virginia Tech, Boston College, NC State, Michigan, Wake Forest, Wisconsin, and Colorado State all have mixed records and do not provide strong evidence to disprove Kanell's point.The SEC's Bye Weeks and Their Impact
One of the issues with the SEC's "week in and week out grind" argument is the number of bye weeks they schedule. The SEC plays just eight conference games, allowing teams to strategically schedule in effective bye weeks. Ole Miss, for example, scheduled three bye weeks against Middle Tennessee State, Georgia Southern, and Furman. This allowed them to stay healthy by resting their first-string players in blowout wins and enter the tougher part of the schedule with an important advantage.While they do have the big win over Georgia, their record against the more difficult teams on the schedule is 3-2. Pending games against Florida and Mississippi State will further test their mettle. These bye weeks at the beginning of the year have proven to be a crucial factor in the SEC's performance.As we've seen in 2024, the gap between elite teams and good teams has narrowed significantly. This makes playoff discussions extremely complex and filled with different priorities. The SEC may be the overall best conference, but there are clear weaknesses that cannot be ignored. Danny Kanell's analysis has shed light on these issues, and the debate continues to rage on.