Projecting the Third College Football Playoff Rankings and 12-Team Bracket

Nov 19, 2024 at 12:43 PM
We've now witnessed two weeks of College Football Playoff rankings, providing the selection committee with a baseline on most teams vying for a spot. Week 12 brought about significant shakeups, and we'll attempt to project this week's rankings and playoff bracket below.

Unveiling the Potential of the Third College Football Playoff Rankings

The Top 4 Seeds

The Oregon Ducks (Big Ten Champion) had a slow start against Wisconsin but managed to secure the win. They remain on track to reach the Big Ten title game and are a strong contender in the playoff race. Texas (SEC Champion), with only one loss in conference play, is in control of its destiny and a serious contender. Miami (ACC Champion), currently favored to win the league, is in a prime position for an automatic qualifying spot. Boise State (Mountain West Champion), despite a shaky start against San Diego State, showed its resilience and could potentially finish as one of the top four highest-ranked conference champions.

The Ducks' ability to perform on the road this season has been a key factor. Texas' rivalry game at the end of the year holds significant implications. Miami's path to the ACC title game without another loss is manageable. And Boise State's performance against BYU this week could be crucial in determining its playoff position.

The At-Larges

Ohio State had a slow start at Northwestern but quarterback Will Howard settled in and the team showed its offensive prowess. Penn State cruised to a big win over Purdue, with Drew Allar and Tyler Warren leading the charge. Indiana, after a scintillating start, got a bye week at the perfect time and is set for a showdown with Ohio State that will shape the Big Ten title race. Notre Dame dominated Virginia but had a moment of complacency. Their upcoming game against unbeaten Army holds significant weight.

Ohio State's ability to bounce back after a slow start is impressive. Penn State's offense looked dangerous again after a down performance. Indiana's bye week gives them time to rest and prepare. And Notre Dame's dominance in some aspects but lack of focus in others shows the challenges they face.

Georgia's Playoff Prospects

Georgia's big win over Tennessee has moved them closer to the front of the playoff pack. The committee will have to carefully consider overall body of work versus head-to-head results. If they favor the latter, Georgia could slip behind Alabama and Ole Miss. But if they weigh the overall body of work more heavily, Georgia could come out on top. The logjam of 8-2 SEC teams makes this a tough call.

Georgia's performance against Tennessee was a turning point. The team's ability to handle tough opponents and come out on top gives them a chance. But the committee's decision will be crucial in determining their playoff fate.

Alabama's Chances

The Crimson Tide have some impressive wins, topping Georgia, LSU, and Missouri. Although their losses to respectable teams still haunt them, their overall resume is strong. There is a definite logjam of two-loss SEC teams, and it will be a close call as to whether Alabama makes it into the playoff.

Alabama's ability to win against tough opponents is evident. But the competition in the SEC is fierce, and they'll need to continue to perform well to secure a playoff spot.

Ole Miss' Situation

Ole Miss' big win over Georgia last week was impressive, but they now have to watch as the Bulldogs could potentially slip back in front. Their losses to Kentucky and LSU look worse as the season goes on, which could impact their playoff chances if all else is equal.

Ole Miss' recent win gives them some momentum, but they need to be careful as the playoff picture becomes more crowded. Their losses could come back to haunt them.

BYU's Position

BYU is projected to remain ahead of Colorado in the College Football Playoff rankings, but the gap is not large. Their performance against Arizona State next week could change their playoff position. As the fifth-highest-ranked conference champion, they are in a unique situation.

BYU's ability to hold their own in the playoff race is impressive. But they need to continue to perform well and hope for favorable matchups.

First Four Out

Tennessee, SMU, Texas A&M, and Colorado are on the bubble. These teams will need to perform well in their remaining games to have a chance at making the playoff.

The competition is fierce, and these teams will have to fight hard to secure a spot. Each team has its own strengths and weaknesses, and it will be a close battle.

Group of 5 Contenders

Army, Tulane, UNLV, and Washington State are the Group of 5 contenders. They will need to perform exceptionally well to make a splash in the playoff race.

The Group of 5 teams face an uphill battle, but they have the potential to cause some major upsets. Their performances will be closely watched.

The Projected Bracket

No. 9 Georgia at No. 8 Notre Dame, with the winner facing No. 1 Oregon in the Rose Bowl. No. 12 BYU at No. 5 Ohio State, and the winner facing No. 4 Boise State in the Fiesta Bowl. No. 10 Alabama at No. 7 Indiana, with the winner facing No. 2 Texas in the Sugar Bowl. No. 11 Ole Miss at No. 6 Penn State, and the winner facing No. 3 Miami in the Peach Bowl.

The playoff bracket is set, and the matchups are exciting. Each team will have to bring their A-game to advance in the tournament.