A Thrilling Showdown: No. 2 Ohio State vs. No. 5 Indiana

Nov 18, 2024 at 4:04 PM
In a highly anticipated clash, the top-five ranked Big Ten teams are all set to go head-to-head. On Saturday, the mighty No. 2 Ohio State welcomes the tenacious No. 5 Indiana. This game holds significant importance as it will determine the second place in the league, with Ohio State currently sitting in third despite their 6-1 record in Big Ten play. The Buckeyes' path to victory is not an easy one, as they face the surprise team of the season - undefeated Indiana. Under the leadership of first-year head coach Curt Cignetti, Indiana has achieved an unprecedented 10-win season, boasting the nation's second-ranked scoring offense.

Early Predictions and Odds

According to the lines at FanDuel Sportsbook, Ohio State is a 11.5-point favorite against Indiana. The total for the game is set at 52.5 points. The moneyline odds for Ohio State are -465 to win outright, while for Indiana, it is +350. In terms of against the spread (ATS) records, Ohio State is 5-5 overall this season (50%), while Indiana is an impressive 8-2 (80%) ATS in 2024, ranking third nationally. At home this year, Ohio State is 3-3 against the spread, and on the road, Indiana is 3-0 ATS. The total went under in 6 of Ohio State's last 7 games, and Indiana has been 5-0 ATS in its last 5 road games. Ohio State is 8-4 against the spread in its last 12 home games, and Indiana is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 road games against Ohio State. In November, Ohio State is 4-2 against the spread, and the total went over in 7 of Indiana's last 9 games.

Betting Trends and Consensus Picks

A majority of bettors expect Indiana to give Ohio State a tough fight this weekend. According to the spread consensus picks, 66 percent of bets are on Indiana to either win outright in an upset or keep the margin within a dozen points in a loss. The remaining 44 percent of wagers project Ohio State to emerge victorious and cover the big spread. The game's implied score suggests a comfortable win for Ohio State, with a projected score of 32 to 21 when taking the point spread and total into consideration.

Analysis of Team Performances

Ohio State has had its moments this season, but their performance against the spread has been inconsistent. Their defense, which is usually strong, has shown some vulnerabilities against aggressive passing offenses. On the other hand, Indiana has been on a roll, with their high-scoring offense and solid road record. The undefeated streak and their recent ATS success give them confidence going into this game. However, facing a top-ranked team like Ohio State will be a true test for them.

Key Matchups to Watch

One of the key matchups to watch in this game is the battle between Ohio State's offense and Indiana's defense. Ohio State's offense has the potential to break through Indiana's defensive line and create scoring opportunities. Conversely, Indiana's defense will need to step up and contain Ohio State's star players. Another important matchup is on the defensive side, as both teams will try to disrupt the other's passing game. Indiana's aggressive defense will pose a challenge for Ohio State's quarterbacks, while Ohio State's defensive line will need to apply pressure to Indiana's offensive line.