With the college football season on the horizon, discussions are heating up regarding the potential top selections in the 2027 NFL Draft. This particular draft class is anticipated to feature an abundance of talent across various positions, but the spotlight remains firmly on quarterbacks. Given the recent less robust quarterback pools, numerous NFL teams will undoubtedly be seeking a franchise signal-caller.
Unless a team not in dire need of a quarterback (such as the Las Vegas Raiders, who recently acquired Fernando Mendoza but are still projected to struggle) secures the first overall pick, the conversation for the top spot in the 2027 draft will likely center on a select group of names.
Arch Manning, the quarterback from Texas, currently boasts the highest probability of being the No. 1 overall pick in 2027, according to Kalshi, a platform for predicting real-world outcomes. As of August 13, his chances stood at 33%. After a period of adjustment, Manning truly found his rhythm as Texas's full-time starter in his initial season. Despite rumors of an early departure for the NFL, he chose to remain with the Longhorns, a team expected to be among the elite in college football next year. Manning is again considered a frontrunner for the Heisman Trophy, having been hindered by a slow start in his 2026 campaign. His ability to connect with superstar wide receiver Cam Coleman early in games will be critical for Texas. With a strong Heisman push and his notable family background, Manning presents a compelling case for the top draft pick.
Dante Moore, the quarterback from Oregon, made headlines by deciding to return to the Ducks. This decision was unexpected by many, possibly even by Oregon, as they had already secured highly-touted transfer Dylan Raiola before Moore's announcement. The 21-year-old might have been aiming to avoid teams like the New York Jets, who are expected to hold an early draft pick in 2027 and remain in search of a quarterback after using their No. 2 overall selection on Texas Tech EDGE David Bailey. Barring any significant decline in performance with the formidable Oregon squad, it is difficult to imagine Moore not being a prime candidate for the top overall selection. Kalshi currently estimates his chances of being chosen first overall at 17%.
CJ Carr, the quarterback from Notre Dame, may not have the same widespread recognition as Manning or Moore, with Kalshi assigning him an 11% chance of being the No. 1 overall pick. However, this does not diminish his talent. In the previous year with Notre Dame, he completed 66% of his passes, throwing for 2,741 yards and 24 touchdowns with only six interceptions. Carr possesses the archetypal build for an NFL quarterback and is poised to make any team very content, even if he is not the first player called on draft day.
